Froogal Stoodent vs. Vanguard

The Froogal Stoodent Takes On Vanguard

In my constant search for better, easier, more profitable ways to invest, I've run into a fact that disturbs me more and more as I continue to think about it: most total stock market indices, such as Vanguard's VTSAX, are market-cap weighted.

What does that even mean?

Well, it means that a greater proportion of every investment dollar goes to the largest companies in the market. 

At first glance, you'd think, "More of my money is going to the Apples and Googles and Microsofts of the investment world. Isn't that a good thing?"

Maybe.

But maybe not.

Should you trust the stock market? Pt I

Should you trust the stock market? Part I

Check out Part II here

Historically, the returns have been good on the Dow Jones or the S&P 500. But, as every financial advisor cautions, past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Dow Jones (all-time, also note the log scale—this graph has a much steeper incline than it appears at first glance; see below):

from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Jones_Industrial_Average

Dow Jones (all-time, labeled with some historical highlights):

from http://www.independent-stock-investing.com/images/DowChart2.png

S&P 500 (since 1950, including adjustment for inflation):

from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%26P_500_Index

Or, for those who would prefer an annualized chart of S&P 500 returns, here you go (all-time--note that the S&P 500 was called the "Composite Index" before 1957):

from http://cbsnews1.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/2016/01/05/8bc2c493-ba40-4703-9979-c19534cbae20/64b19a4e258194bd5d72f1b77e371301/s-p-500-return-through-2015.gif

Notably, John Bogle (the founder of The Vanguard Group, an investing company) is not optimistic in the short-term: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/john-bogle-says-you-wont-make-much-money-from-stocks-2015-11-05

So, should you be optimistic? Is it wise to invest in the stock market? Is the market really trustworthy?

You don't need my advice. Take a look at the graphs above and decide for yourself.